SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Albans City | Draw | Bath City |
44.09% ( -0.02) | 25.23% ( -0.04) | 30.67% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.25% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.83% ( 0.22) | 48.17% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.67% ( 0.21) | 70.33% ( -0.21) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.17% ( 0.08) | 21.83% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.94% ( 0.13) | 55.05% ( -0.13) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.68% ( 0.16) | 29.31% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.71% ( 0.2) | 65.28% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Albans City | Draw | Bath City |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.09% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0)1-3 @ 3% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.67% |
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