SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 65.86%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 14.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Dover Athletic |
65.86% ( 0.04) | 19.73% ( -0.04) | 14.4% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 50.82% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.91% ( 0.19) | 43.08% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.51% ( 0.19) | 65.48% ( -0.19) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.76% ( 0.07) | 12.24% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.05% ( 0.14) | 37.94% ( -0.15) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.91% ( 0.12) | 42.09% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.49% ( 0.1) | 78.51% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Dover Athletic |
| 2-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.96% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 65.86% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 19.73% | 0-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.93% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.57% Total : 14.4% |
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