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National League South | Gameweek 12
Nov 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Priory Lane Stadium
TU

Eastbourne
1 - 4
Torquay Utd

Kealy (61' pen.)
Defise (26')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dolan (13'), McGavin (22', 70'), Ash (79')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Eastbourne Borough and Torquay United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 1-0 Eastbourne
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 3-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.

Result
Eastbourne BoroughDrawTorquay United
34.41% (3.379 3.38) 24.31% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 41.27% (-3.417 -3.42)
Both teams to score 59.87% (1.169 1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.24% (0.98 0.98)42.76% (-0.98099999999999 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.84% (0.96700000000001 0.97)65.16% (-0.968 -0.97)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64% (2.509 2.51)24.35% (-2.51 -2.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.25% (3.422 3.42)58.75% (-3.423 -3.42)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.15% (-1.116 -1.12)20.84% (1.114 1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.46% (-1.778 -1.78)53.53% (1.776 1.78)
Score Analysis
    Eastbourne Borough 34.42%
    Torquay United 41.27%
    Draw 24.31%
Eastbourne BoroughDrawTorquay United
2-1 @ 7.94% (0.51 0.51)
1-0 @ 7.17% (0.203 0.2)
2-0 @ 5.06% (0.486 0.49)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.483 0.48)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.29 0.29)
3-0 @ 2.39% (0.379 0.38)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.25 0.25)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 34.42%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.196 0.2)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.31%
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.361 -0.36)
0-1 @ 7.96% (-0.643 -0.64)
0-2 @ 6.24% (-0.74 -0.74)
1-3 @ 4.61% (-0.356 -0.36)
0-3 @ 3.26% (-0.515 -0.52)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.81% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.253 -0.25)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 41.27%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 1-0 Eastbourne
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-1 Eastbourne
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 0-3 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 3-1 Braintree
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 2-0 Eastbourne
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 4-2 Eastbourne
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 3-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-2 Torquay Utd
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-3 Yeovil
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-0 Bath City
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 3-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 3-2 Torquay Utd
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League South


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