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National League South | Gameweek 14
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Woodspring Stadium
TU

Weston
3 - 2
Torquay Utd

Reid (17', 73' pen.), Thomas (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jarvis (61'), Thomas (90+6' og.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weston-super-Mare and Torquay United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braintree 2-0 Weston
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 5-1 Welling United
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 1-0 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Weston-super-MareDrawTorquay United
30.16% (-1.279 -1.28) 24.72% (-0.495 -0.5) 45.12% (1.78 1.78)
Both teams to score 56.69% (1.026 1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.83% (1.628 1.63)46.17% (-1.621 -1.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.54% (1.518 1.52)68.46% (-1.511 -1.51)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)28.66% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)64.47% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (1.489 1.49)20.54% (-1.482 -1.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.96% (2.3 2.3)53.05% (-2.293 -2.29)
Score Analysis
    Weston-super-Mare 30.16%
    Torquay United 45.12%
    Draw 24.72%
Weston-super-MareDrawTorquay United
1-0 @ 7.36% (-0.528 -0.53)
2-1 @ 7.28% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-0 @ 4.6% (-0.337 -0.34)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 30.16%
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.28 -0.28)
0-0 @ 5.89% (-0.414 -0.41)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.72%
0-1 @ 9.32% (-0.217 -0.22)
1-2 @ 9.22% (0.189 0.19)
0-2 @ 7.37% (0.161 0.16)
1-3 @ 4.86% (0.309 0.31)
0-3 @ 3.89% (0.253 0.25)
2-3 @ 3.04% (0.19 0.19)
1-4 @ 1.92% (0.201 0.2)
0-4 @ 1.54% (0.164 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.2% (0.125 0.13)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 45.12%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Braintree 2-0 Weston
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 0-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 0-1 Weston
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 1-1 Hampton
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 2-3 Yeovil
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-1 Weston
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 5-1 Welling United
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 0-1 Maidstone
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 3-2 Torquay Utd
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-0 Farnborough
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in National League South


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