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National League South | Gameweek 21
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hemps.
1 - 0
Eastbourne

Whittaker (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Eastbourne Borough.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 0-0 Bath City
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-1 Eastbourne
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hemel Hempstead Town in this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawEastbourne Borough
44.66% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07) 26.4% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02) 28.94% (0.089000000000002 0.09)
Both teams to score 50.63% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.26% (0.107 0.11)53.74% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.78% (0.091000000000001 0.09)75.22% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.04% (0.010999999999996 0.01)23.96% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.81% (0.016999999999996 0.02)58.19% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (0.125 0.13)33.41% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.96% (0.134 0.13)70.04% (-0.134 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 44.65%
    Eastbourne Borough 28.94%
    Draw 26.39%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawEastbourne Borough
1-0 @ 11.43% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 44.65%
1-1 @ 12.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 8.78% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.87% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.81% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 28.94%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 0-0 Bath City
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 1-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 2-1 Hemel Hemps.
Monday, November 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 2-1 Dartford
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 0-2 Braintree
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 2-2 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-1 Eastbourne
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 0-3 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 3-1 Braintree
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 2-0 Eastbourne
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 4-2 Eastbourne
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 3-3 Slough
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South


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