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National League South | Gameweek 13
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Paddy Power Park

Farnborough Town
4 - 1
Slough

Willard (25', 55', 89'), Bloomfield (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Obi (51')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and Slough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-1 Chippenham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-0 Slough
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Slough Town had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Slough Town win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.

Result
Farnborough TownDrawSlough Town
50.29% (1.668 1.67) 23.84% (-0.524 -0.52) 25.87% (-1.15 -1.15)
Both teams to score 56.41% (0.702 0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.93% (1.4 1.4)45.06% (-1.408 -1.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.59% (1.331 1.33)67.41% (-1.339 -1.34)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.02% (1.197 1.2)17.98% (-1.204 -1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.16% (2.019 2.02)48.83% (-2.027 -2.03)
Slough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (-0.155 -0.16)31.22% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43% (-0.179 -0.18)67.56% (0.172 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Farnborough Town 50.29%
    Slough Town 25.87%
    Draw 23.83%
Farnborough TownDrawSlough Town
1-0 @ 9.63% (-0.209 -0.21)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.123 0.12)
2-0 @ 8.26% (0.139 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.275 0.27)
3-0 @ 4.73% (0.255 0.26)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.147 0.15)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.202 0.2)
4-0 @ 2.03% (0.181 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 50.29%
1-1 @ 11.21% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-0 @ 5.61% (-0.347 -0.35)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.049 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.83%
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.432 -0.43)
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.197 -0.2)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.268 -0.27)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 25.87%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-1 Chippenham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 2-2 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 3-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-0 Welling United
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 1-2 Farnborough Town
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 2-2 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-0 Slough
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 4-0 Hungerford
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 0-2 Slough
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 1-1 Worthing
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 0-3 Bath City
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-2 Slough
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South


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