SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 59.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 18.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Welling United |
59.5% ( 0.17) | 21.88% ( -0.05) | 18.62% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.98% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.12% ( 0.03) | 44.88% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.76% ( 0.03) | 67.24% ( -0.03) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.3% ( 0.07) | 14.7% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.11% ( 0.13) | 42.89% ( -0.13) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.11% ( -0.11) | 37.89% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.34% ( -0.11) | 74.66% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Welling United |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 59.49% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.87% | 0-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 18.62% |
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