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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Farnborough Town win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
32.64% ( -5.14) | 25.99% ( 0.65) | 41.37% ( 4.48) |
| Both teams to score 53.59% ( -2.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.3% ( -3.5) | 50.7% ( 3.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.4% ( -3.17) | 72.6% ( 3.17) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.74% ( -4.72) | 29.26% ( 4.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.78% ( -6.2) | 65.22% ( 6.2) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.75% ( 0.79) | 24.24% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.4% ( 1.1) | 58.6% ( -1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.81)2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.7)3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.82)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.52)3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.64)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.43)Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.64% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.95)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.44)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 10.05% ( 1.54) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.47)0-2 @ 7.12% ( 1.23)1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.31)0-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.64)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.14)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.25)Other @ 2.75% Total : 41.37% |
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