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National League South | Gameweek 28
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Paddy Power Park
H&

Farnborough Town
2 - 2
Havant & W'ville

FT(HT: 0-1)
Fall (22'), McCarthy (90+2')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and Havant & Waterlooville.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dartford 3-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 2-1 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Farnborough TownDrawHavant & Waterlooville
49.38% (2.288 2.29) 24.12% (-0.569 -0.57) 26.5% (-1.724 -1.72)
Both teams to score 56.06% (0.485 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.2% (1.276 1.28)45.79% (-1.281 -1.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.89% (1.201 1.2)68.11% (-1.204 -1.2)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.38% (1.44 1.44)18.61% (-1.444 -1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.09% (2.368 2.37)49.91% (-2.372 -2.37)
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.88% (-0.63800000000001 -0.64)31.12% (0.633 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.55% (-0.749 -0.75)67.44% (0.744 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Farnborough Town 49.38%
    Havant & Waterlooville 26.5%
    Draw 24.11%
Farnborough TownDrawHavant & Waterlooville
1-0 @ 9.74% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.183 0.18)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.296 0.3)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.336 0.34)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.362 0.36)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.144 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.234 0.23)
4-0 @ 1.93% (0.23 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 49.38%
1-1 @ 11.36% (-0.3 -0.3)
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.322 -0.32)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.11%
0-1 @ 6.76% (-0.502 -0.5)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.296 -0.3)
0-2 @ 3.95% (-0.367 -0.37)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.162 -0.16)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.172 -0.17)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 26.5%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dartford 3-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-0 Welling United
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 1-2 Farnborough Town
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 2-2 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-1 Braintree
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 3-1 Weymouth
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 2-1 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-2 St Albans City
Wednesday, March 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-1 Cheshunt
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-0 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 2-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-0 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League South


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