SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Farnborough Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Farnborough Town |
34.22% ( -0.94) | 24.48% ( -0.11) | 41.3% ( 1.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.22% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.41% ( 0.34) | 43.59% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.02% ( 0.33) | 65.98% ( -0.33) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.14% ( -0.37) | 24.86% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.54% ( -0.52) | 59.46% ( 0.53) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.81% ( 0.64) | 21.19% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.94% ( 0.99) | 54.07% ( -0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Farnborough Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.19)2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.28% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.22% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.09)0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.66% Total : 41.3% |
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