SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Dover Athletic | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | St Albans City | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Worthing | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Hungerford Town | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Oxford City | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 21 | Slough Town | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Oxford City in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Albans City | Draw | Oxford City |
28.06% ( -0.07) | 25.53% ( -0.15) | 46.42% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 52.75% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.28% ( 0.55) | 50.72% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.38% ( 0.49) | 72.62% ( -0.49) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.49% ( 0.24) | 32.51% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.96% ( 0.27) | 69.04% ( -0.27) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.15% ( 0.33) | 21.85% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.92% ( 0.5) | 55.08% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Albans City | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.82% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 28.06% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 4.17% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.32% Total : 46.41% |
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