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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Hampton & Richmond had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Hampton & Richmond win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hampton & Richmond | Draw | Worthing |
36.33% ( -0.58) | 24.97% ( 0.07) | 38.69% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 57.8% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.41% ( -0.35) | 45.58% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.09% ( -0.34) | 67.91% ( 0.33) |
| Hampton & Richmond Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% ( -0.48) | 24.6% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.9% ( -0.67) | 59.09% ( 0.67) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% ( 0.11) | 23.34% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.7% ( 0.16) | 57.3% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hampton & Richmond | Draw | Worthing |
| 2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.89% Total : 36.33% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.97% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.13% Total : 38.69% |
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