SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 18.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Welling United |
60.72% ( 0.16) | 20.5% ( -0.08) | 18.77% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 58.03% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.65% ( 0.22) | 38.34% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.37% ( 0.23) | 60.62% ( -0.23) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.75% ( 0.11) | 12.24% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.05% ( 0.24) | 37.94% ( -0.24) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.12% ( 0.04) | 33.87% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.45% ( 0.04) | 70.54% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Welling United |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.96% Total : 60.72% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.5% | 1-2 @ 5.1% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 18.77% |
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