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National League South | Gameweek 15
Oct 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Westleigh Park

Havant & W'ville
2 - 2
Bath City

Fall (58'), Passley (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wilson (28', 60')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Havant & Waterlooville and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-1 Oxford City
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-0 Cheshunt
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 28.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Havant & WaterloovilleDrawBath City
46.82% (0.056999999999995 0.06) 24.69% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 28.5% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.76% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.08% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)46.92% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.83% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)69.17% (0.092000000000013 0.09)
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.89% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)20.11% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.63% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)52.37% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.8% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)30.2% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.64% (-0.116 -0.12)66.36% (0.121 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Havant & Waterlooville 46.82%
    Bath City 28.5%
    Draw 24.68%
Havant & WaterloovilleDrawBath City
1-0 @ 9.74% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-0 @ 7.81% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.18% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 46.82%
1-1 @ 11.66% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.07% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.68%
0-1 @ 7.27% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.79% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 28.5%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-1 Oxford City
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-0 Concord Rangers
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 0-2 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-2 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 4-1 Hungerford
Wednesday, September 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-4 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-0 Cheshunt
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 0-2 Bath City
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-3 Hungerford
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-1 Bath City
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 3-3 Bath City
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-1 Weymouth
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League South


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