Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
0.6) 
-0.79) 
