SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Welling United | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Bath City | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Oxford City | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 7 | -8 | 5 |
| 23 | Cheshunt | 7 | -10 | 3 |
| 24 | Weymouth | 7 | -10 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bath City | Draw | Weymouth |
50.47% ( 0.48) | 24.65% ( -0.06) | 24.88% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 52.81% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.64% ( -0.08) | 49.36% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.6% ( -0.07) | 71.4% ( 0.08) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.43% ( 0.16) | 19.57% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.52% ( 0.27) | 51.48% ( -0.26) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.66% ( -0.39) | 34.34% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.95% ( -0.43) | 71.05% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bath City | Draw | Weymouth |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 50.47% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.18% Total : 24.88% |
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