SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 46.61%. A win for Cheshunt had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Cheshunt win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bath City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bath City | Draw | Cheshunt |
46.61% ( 0.11) | 24.89% ( 0.01) | 28.51% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 55.11% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.22% ( -0.13) | 47.78% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.03% ( -0.12) | 69.97% ( 0.12) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.45% ( -0.01) | 20.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.93% ( -0.01) | 53.07% ( 0.01) |
| Cheshunt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.36% ( -0.15) | 30.64% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.12% ( -0.18) | 66.88% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bath City | Draw | Cheshunt |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 46.61% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 28.51% |
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