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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 17.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Hungerford Town win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bath City | Draw | Hungerford Town |
60.65% ( 1.42) | 21.57% ( -0.75) | 17.78% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 52.41% ( 1.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.15% ( 2.19) | 44.84% ( -2.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.8% ( 2.07) | 67.2% ( -2.08) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.67% ( 1.18) | 14.33% ( -1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.83% ( 2.25) | 42.16% ( -2.26) |
| Hungerford Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.18% ( 0.52) | 38.82% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.45% ( 0.49) | 75.55% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bath City | Draw | Hungerford Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.57) 2-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.29)4-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.15)5-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.14)5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.73% Total : 60.63% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.39) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.54)2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.56% | 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.19% Total : 17.79% |
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