Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 27.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.