Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Oxford City in this match.
