Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 51.39%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.