Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.