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National League South | Gameweek 7
Nov 10, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hempstead
1 - 3
Dartford

Christie (81')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Essam (13'), Carlyle (17' og.), Romain (41')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Dartford.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dartford would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawDartford
30.03%25.82%44.15%
Both teams to score 53.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.07%50.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.19%72.81%
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84%31.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51%67.49%
Dartford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01%22.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.22%56.78%
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 30.03%
    Dartford 44.15%
    Draw 25.81%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawDartford
1-0 @ 8.35%
2-1 @ 7.16%
2-0 @ 4.87%
3-1 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.89%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 30.03%
1-1 @ 12.27%
0-0 @ 7.16%
2-2 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 10.53%
1-2 @ 9.03%
0-2 @ 7.74%
1-3 @ 4.42%
0-3 @ 3.79%
2-3 @ 2.58%
1-4 @ 1.63%
0-4 @ 1.4%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 44.15%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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