Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Billericay Town had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Billericay Town win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.
