SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hemel Hempstead Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Yeovil Town |
42.21% ( 0.5) | 27.26% ( 0.06) | 30.53% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 48.86% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.61% ( -0.41) | 56.39% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.59% ( -0.33) | 77.41% ( 0.33) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.61% ( 0.08) | 26.39% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.46% ( 0.1) | 61.54% ( -0.1) |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.37% ( -0.61) | 33.63% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.73% ( -0.68) | 70.27% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Yeovil Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.11% Total : 42.21% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.53% |
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