Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hemel Hempstead Town in this match.
0.5) 
-0.56) 
