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National League South | Gameweek 46
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium

Worthing
3 - 1
Hemel Hempstead

Dabre (29'), Pearce (33' pen.), Wills (42')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Grant (45+2')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheshunt 0-2 Worthing
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 22.21% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 1-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
WorthingDrawHemel Hempstead Town
56.79% (-0.414 -0.41) 21.01% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 22.21% (0.331 0.33)
Both teams to score 61.96% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.23% (0.021000000000001 0.02)35.77% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.16% (0.023000000000003 0.02)57.85% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.45% (-0.113 -0.11)12.54% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.41% (-0.236 -0.24)38.59% (0.238 0.24)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.85% (0.297 0.3)29.15% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.91% (0.361 0.36)65.09% (-0.357 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 56.79%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 22.21%
    Draw 21.01%
WorthingDrawHemel Hempstead Town
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.88% (-0.077000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 7.59% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.72% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.45% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.49% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.83% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.45% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 56.79%
1-1 @ 9.36% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.039 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.01%
1-2 @ 5.77% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-1 @ 4.51% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.78% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 22.21%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cheshunt 0-2 Worthing
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 3-2 Worthing
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-1 Worthing
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 2-1 Braintree
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 7-0 Concord Rangers
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-2 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 3-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Hemel Hempstead
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Slough
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 3-0 Concord Rangers
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South


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