SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 22.21% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.88%) and 1-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
56.79% ( -0.41) | 21.01% ( 0.09) | 22.21% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 61.96% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.23% ( 0.02) | 35.77% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.16% ( 0.02) | 57.85% ( -0.02) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.45% ( -0.11) | 12.54% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.41% ( -0.24) | 38.59% ( 0.24) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.85% ( 0.3) | 29.15% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.91% ( 0.36) | 65.09% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)Other @ 4.2% Total : 56.79% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.66% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.01% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.18% Total : 22.21% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
