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National League South | Gameweek 42
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
1 - 1
Hemel Hempstead

Turner (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Castiglione (61')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford City 4-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Slough
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawHemel Hempstead Town
42.24% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 25.31% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 32.44% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.75% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.13% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)47.87% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.95% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)70.05% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)22.57% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)56.17% (0.017999999999994 0.02)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)27.99% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.36% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)63.64% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 42.24%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 32.44%
    Draw 25.31%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 9.41% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.47% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 42.24%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.32% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 8.05% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 32.44%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Oxford City 4-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 4-3 Hungerford
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-3 Taunton Town
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Slough
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 3-0 Concord Rangers
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-2 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Braintree
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-3 Oxford City
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-0 Hemel Hempstead
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South


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