SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Dartford win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidstone United | Draw | Dartford |
47.94% ( -0.68) | 24.73% ( -0.56) | 27.33% ( 1.24) |
| Both teams to score 54.76% ( 2.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.17% ( 3.21) | 47.83% ( -3.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.98% ( 2.89) | 70.02% ( -2.88) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80% ( 1.01) | 20% ( -1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.81% ( 1.6) | 52.19% ( -1.6) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.45% ( 2.69) | 31.55% ( -2.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.05% ( 2.99) | 67.94% ( -2.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidstone United | Draw | Dartford |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( -1.07) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.58)3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.3)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.86% Total : 47.94% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.88)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.41)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.31)0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.3)2-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.29)0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.79% Total : 27.33% |
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