SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 17.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Havant & Waterlooville win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidstone United | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
61.3% ( 3.18) | 20.82% ( -1.14) | 17.87% ( -2.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.09% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.62% ( 1.98) | 41.37% ( -1.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.22% ( 1.97) | 63.77% ( -1.97) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.98% ( 1.61) | 13.02% ( -1.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.44% ( 3.19) | 39.56% ( -3.19) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.34% ( -1.04) | 36.66% ( 1.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.55% ( -1.05) | 73.45% ( 1.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidstone United | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.29)1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.4)3-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.57)4-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.39)4-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.47)3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.15)5-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.23)5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.26)Other @ 3.38% Total : 61.3% | 1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.57) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.44)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.82% | 1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.44) 0-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.59)0-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.37)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.47% Total : 17.87% |
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