SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Dartford win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Dartford |
46.45% ( -0.01) | 24.5% | 29.05% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.76% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.23% ( 0.01) | 45.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.92% ( 0.01) | 68.08% ( -0.01) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.2% ( 0) | 19.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.13% ( 0) | 51.87% ( 0) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.78% ( 0.02) | 29.22% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.83% ( 0.02) | 65.17% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Dartford |
| 1-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.04% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.04% 4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 46.45% | 1-1 @ 11.52% 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.12% 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)Other @ 3.4% Total : 29.05% |
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