SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 53.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidstone United | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
53.01% ( 0.12) | 23.61% ( -0.02) | 23.38% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.46% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.61% ( -0.04) | 46.39% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.33% ( -0.04) | 68.67% ( 0.04) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.55% ( 0.03) | 17.45% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.08% ( 0.05) | 47.92% ( -0.05) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.97% ( -0.12) | 34.03% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.29% ( -0.13) | 70.71% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidstone United | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
| 1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 53% | 1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 23.38% |
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