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National League South | Gameweek 23
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium
MU

Worthing
5 - 1
Maidstone

Pearce (15', 35', 70'), Cashman (44'), Robinson (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Rush (61')
Gurung (33')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Maidstone United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Worthing 4-4 St Albans City
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 2-1 Truro City
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
WorthingDrawMaidstone United
48.94% (-0.101 -0.1) 23.37% (0.026999999999997 0.03) 27.68% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Both teams to score 59.63% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.46% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)41.54% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.06% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)63.94% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.84% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)17.16% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.59% (-0.116 -0.12)47.4% (0.113 0.11)
Maidstone United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.98% (0.01100000000001 0.01)28.02% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.33% (0.017000000000003 0.02)63.66% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Worthing 48.94%
    Maidstone United 27.68%
    Draw 23.37%
WorthingDrawMaidstone United
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 48.94%
1-1 @ 10.78% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.81% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.37%
1-2 @ 6.86% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.12% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.89% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.91% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.65% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 27.68%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Worthing 4-4 St Albans City
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 4-0 Worthing
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-1 Chippenham
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-1 Worthing
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 0-3 Worthing
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-4 Dartford
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 2-1 Truro City
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 2-1 Barrow
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Maidstone 3-1 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 3-2 Maidstone
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Maidstone
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 1-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in National League South


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