Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dorking Wanderers in this match.
