SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Hungerford Town | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Oxford City | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Slough Town | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Dulwich Hamlet | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Eastbourne Borough | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Ebbsfleet | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Eastbourne Borough win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Eastbourne Borough |
59.89% ( 0.29) | 21.54% ( -0.09) | 18.57% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 54% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.52% ( 0.08) | 43.47% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.13% ( 0.08) | 65.87% ( -0.08) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.88% ( 0.12) | 14.12% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.25% ( 0.23) | 41.75% ( -0.23) |
| Eastbourne Borough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.87% ( -0.18) | 37.12% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.09% ( -0.18) | 73.91% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Eastbourne Borough |
| 1-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 59.88% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.53% | 0-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 18.57% |
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