Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 54.83%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for St Albans City had a probability of 22.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a St Albans City win it was 1-2 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
