SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 62.25%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Taunton Town had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Taunton Town win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Taunton Town |
62.25% ( 1.54) | 21.11% ( -0.55) | 16.64% ( -0.98) |
| Both teams to score 51.58% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.22% ( 0.72) | 44.78% ( -0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.86% ( 0.69) | 67.14% ( -0.68) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.19% ( 0.71) | 13.81% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.84% ( 1.38) | 41.16% ( -1.37) |
| Taunton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.84% ( -0.76) | 40.16% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.21% ( -0.7) | 76.8% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Taunton Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.22)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.32)3-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.84% Total : 62.24% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.1% | 0-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.94% Total : 16.64% |
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