SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
39.3% ( -2.91) | 24.18% ( 0.35) | 36.52% ( 2.56) |
| Both teams to score 60.74% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.21% ( -1.23) | 41.78% ( 1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.81% ( -1.25) | 64.18% ( 1.25) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% ( -1.86) | 21.36% ( 1.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.67% ( -2.96) | 54.32% ( 2.96) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% ( 0.82) | 22.76% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.55% ( 1.2) | 56.44% ( -1.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.43)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.37)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.28)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.66% Total : 39.3% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.26)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.38) 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.55)0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.53)1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.32)1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.14)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.33% Total : 36.52% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
