SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Oxford City |
29.52% ( -3.34) | 26.4% ( -0.7) | 44.08% ( 4.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.95% ( 0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.51% ( 1.64) | 53.48% ( -1.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.99% ( 1.36) | 75.01% ( -1.37) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% ( -1.52) | 32.85% ( 1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.58% ( -1.73) | 69.42% ( 1.72) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.87% ( 2.83) | 24.13% ( -2.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.57% ( 3.87) | 58.43% ( -3.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.98) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.47)2-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.78)3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.38)Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.52% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.52)2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.5)0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.75)1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.55)0-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.63)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.22)1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.3)0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.31)Other @ 2.65% Total : 44.07% |
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