Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford City	Draw	Oxford City
35.25% ( 0.85)	26.23% ( 0.12)	38.53% ( -0.97)

Both teams to score 53.38% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.78% (

-0.39)

51.22% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.95% (

-0.34)

73.05% (

0.35)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.12% (

0.33)

27.88% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.51% (

0.42)

63.49% (

-0.42)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.02% (

-0.71)

25.99% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39% (

-0.96)

61% (

0.97)

Score Analysis

Chelmsford City 35.25%

Oxford City 38.53%

Draw 26.23%

Chelmsford City	Draw	Oxford City
1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.25%	1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23%	0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.38% Total : 38.53%