SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Worthing | 7 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Chelmsford City | 7 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Braintree Town | 7 | 8 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Bath City | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | Oxford City | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Taunton Town | 7 | 2 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Oxford City |
35.25% ( 0.85) | 26.23% ( 0.12) | 38.53% ( -0.97) |
| Both teams to score 53.38% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.78% ( -0.39) | 51.22% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.95% ( -0.34) | 73.05% ( 0.35) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( 0.33) | 27.88% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.51% ( 0.42) | 63.49% ( -0.42) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% ( -0.71) | 25.99% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39% ( -0.96) | 61% ( 0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.25% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.38% Total : 38.53% |
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