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National League South | Gameweek 12
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
5 - 0
Taunton Town

Cundle (17'), Poleon (45'), Edser (55', 71'), Bingham (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Taunton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford City 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-1 Bath City
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Taunton Town had a probability of 13.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.17%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Taunton Town win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawTaunton Town
64.51% (-0.178 -0.18) 21.73% (0.096 0.1) 13.76% (0.083 0.08)
Both teams to score 43.06% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.34% (-0.197 -0.2)52.66% (0.199 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.7% (-0.169 -0.17)74.3% (0.17 0.17)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.32% (-0.124 -0.12)15.68% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.27% (-0.23 -0.23)44.72% (0.232 0.23)
Taunton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)48.93% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.09% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)83.91% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 64.51%
    Taunton Town 13.76%
    Draw 21.72%
EbbsfleetDrawTaunton Town
1-0 @ 14.21% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 13.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 8.14% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.81% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.77% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.69% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.4% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 64.51%
1-1 @ 10.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.67% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 21.72%
0-1 @ 5.48% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.63% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.96% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 13.76%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Oxford City 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-0 Braintree
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-1 Bath City
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-0 Dover Athletic
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-1 Bath City
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 1-0 Taunton Town
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 0-1 Taunton Town
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 3-1 Chippenham
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South


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