Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slough Town win with a probability of 54.27%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 22.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slough Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Slough Town | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
54.27% ( 1.57) | 22.81% ( -0.65) | 22.92% ( -0.92) |
Both teams to score 56.54% ( 1.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.65% ( 1.92) | 43.35% ( -1.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.25% ( 1.87) | 65.75% ( -1.87) |
Slough Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.09% ( 1.25) | 15.91% ( -1.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.85% ( 2.25) | 45.15% ( -2.25) |
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.24% ( 0.25) | 32.76% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.68% ( 0.28) | 69.32% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Slough Town | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.4) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.29) 3-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.15) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.13) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.55% Total : 54.27% | 1-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.45) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.81% | 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.46) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.43% Total : 22.92% |
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