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National League South | Gameweek 16
Dec 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Arbour Park

Slough
2 - 0
Hemel Hemps.

Minhas (41'), Goddard (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Slough Town and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slough 2-2 Farnborough
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-2 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slough Town win with a probability of 54.27%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 22.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slough Town would win this match.

Result
Slough TownDrawHemel Hempstead Town
54.27% (1.572 1.57) 22.81% (-0.653 -0.65) 22.92% (-0.919 -0.92)
Both teams to score 56.54% (1.051 1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.65% (1.921 1.92)43.35% (-1.922 -1.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.25% (1.868 1.87)65.75% (-1.867 -1.87)
Slough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.09% (1.252 1.25)15.91% (-1.252 -1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.85% (2.253 2.25)45.15% (-2.252 -2.25)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.24% (0.253 0.25)32.76% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.68% (0.28 0.28)69.32% (-0.28 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Slough Town 54.27%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 22.92%
    Draw 22.81%
Slough TownDrawHemel Hempstead Town
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.074 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.58% (-0.404 -0.4)
2-0 @ 8.81% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.02% (0.292 0.29)
3-0 @ 5.4% (0.226 0.23)
3-2 @ 3.36% (0.185 0.19)
4-1 @ 2.77% (0.243 0.24)
4-0 @ 2.48% (0.202 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.145 0.15)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.128 0.13)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.109 0.11)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 54.27%
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.079 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.454 -0.45)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.81%
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.167 -0.17)
0-1 @ 5.82% (-0.462 -0.46)
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.234 -0.23)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 22.92%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Slough 2-2 Farnborough
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 3-0 Braintree
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 2-1 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Grimsby Town 7-2 Slough
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Welling United 4-3 Slough
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 4-0 Truro City
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-2 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-0 Hemel Hemps.
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 0-2 Chippenham
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 2-1 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 1-0 Eastbourne
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 0-0 Bath City
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South


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