SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
53.07% ( 0.4) | 23.49% ( -0.08) | 23.44% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 54.91% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.18% ( -0) | 45.81% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.87% ( -0) | 68.13% ( -0) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.77% ( 0.14) | 17.22% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.48% ( 0.26) | 47.51% ( -0.26) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.34% ( -0.29) | 33.66% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.69% ( -0.31) | 70.31% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torquay United | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.84% Total : 53.06% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.49% | 0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.27% Total : 23.44% |
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