SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 37.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.11%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
39.07% ( 0.02) | 23.87% ( -0.01) | 37.05% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.95% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.77% ( 0.04) | 40.23% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.4% ( 0.04) | 62.6% ( -0.04) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.21% ( 0.03) | 20.79% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.55% ( 0.04) | 53.44% ( -0.04) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.22% ( 0.02) | 21.78% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.02% ( 0.02) | 54.98% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.59% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 39.08% | 1-1 @ 10.84% 2-2 @ 6.49% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.2% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.05% |
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