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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Welling United win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Slough Town had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Welling United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Slough Town win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Welling United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Slough Town |
41.09% ( 0.02) | 25.38% ( -0.01) | 33.54% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.89% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.16% ( 0.04) | 47.84% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.97% ( 0.04) | 70.02% ( -0.04) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.87% ( 0.03) | 23.13% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.01% ( 0.04) | 56.99% ( -0.04) |
| Slough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% ( 0.01) | 27.29% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.26% ( 0.01) | 62.74% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Welling United | Draw | Slough Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 41.09% | 1-1 @ 12% 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 33.54% |
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