Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
