Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ebbsfleet in this match.
