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National League South | Gameweek 4
Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK
Clarence Park
TU

St Albans City
0 - 1
Torquay Utd

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tomlinson (38')
Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Torquay United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-2 St Albans City
Wednesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-1 Chippenham
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
St Albans CityDrawTorquay United
40.05% (2.144 2.14) 25.93% (0.032 0.03) 34.02% (-2.178 -2.18)
Both teams to score 54.14% (-0.415 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.85% (-0.399 -0.4)50.14% (0.396 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.89% (-0.355 -0.36)72.11% (0.35299999999999 0.35)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (0.97 0.97)24.68% (-0.971 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.79% (1.339 1.34)59.21% (-1.341 -1.34)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (-1.498 -1.5)28.11% (1.495 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (-1.939 -1.94)63.78% (1.937 1.94)
Score Analysis
    St Albans City 40.05%
    Torquay United 34.02%
    Draw 25.92%
St Albans CityDrawTorquay United
1-0 @ 9.71% (0.418 0.42)
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.253 0.25)
2-0 @ 6.79% (0.472 0.47)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.226 0.23)
3-0 @ 3.17% (0.301 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.115 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 40.05%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.94% (0.111 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.8% (-0.232 -0.23)
1-2 @ 7.82% (-0.322 -0.32)
0-2 @ 5.59% (-0.395 -0.4)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.285 -0.29)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.276 -0.28)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.139 -0.14)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 34.02%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-2 St Albans City
Wednesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 2-1 St Albans City
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-1 Weymouth
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 4-0 St Albans City
Sunday, May 14 at 12.30pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 1-1 St Albans City (3-5 pen.)
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 St Albans City
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.30pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-1 Chippenham
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 0-3 Worthing
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 2-2 Torquay Utd
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-1 Plymouth
Tuesday, July 18 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-1 Wrexham
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 2-2 Torquay Utd
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League


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