SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for St Albans City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | St Albans City |
30.62% ( -0.14) | 24.47% ( -0.25) | 44.91% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 57.8% ( 0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.17% ( 1.06) | 44.83% ( -1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.81% ( 1.01) | 67.19% ( -1.01) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.32% ( 0.43) | 27.68% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.76% ( 0.56) | 63.23% ( -0.56) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.92% ( 0.6) | 20.08% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.68% ( 0.96) | 52.32% ( -0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | St Albans City |
| 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.62% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.26)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.92% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.92% Total : 44.91% |
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