Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
