Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.